Friday, 10 August 2012

Egypt: Sinai is becoming an operating base for militant Jihadis


Security analysts had been warning for some time that the Sinai was becoming an operating base for militant jihadis. The local tribesmen, who for centuries have smuggled goods across borders they do not recognise, have been bringing in arms looted from Libya's armouries, some for militants in Gaza some for their own use. It has not been established how many militants from outside the Sinai might also have been drawn to the region for the apparent ease with which they could operate outside the purview of Egyptian security. One of Israel's best known and most authoritative defence analysts, Ehud Yaari, wrote in a report published in January: "Measures are needed to prevent the total collapse of security in and around the peninsula [and] avoid the rise of an armed runaway Bedouin statelet."
He noted that armed gangs had been trafficking hundreds of people, mainly from the Horn of Africa or sub-Saharan Africa, who paid them thousands of dollars to ensure their passage through the border into Israel. It was to stop the influx of illegal immigrants as much as for security reasons that Israel embarked on its project to build a massive security fence along its Sinai border.
For more news and expert analysis about Egypt, please see Egypt Politics & Security.
© 2012 Menas Associates

Tuesday, 7 August 2012

Yemen: Suicide bomber kills 45 in Abyan

Yemen's government has blamed al-Qa'ida for a suicide bombing that has claimed at least 45 lives in the southern province of Abyan. Dozens more people were injured in the attack on a funeral in the city of Jaar.

It is thought that the bomber detonated an explosive belt during the service held by a tribal militia that supported the army during recent fighting.

In a statemtn, local governor Jamal al-Aqal said that an investigation had been opened into the "criminal and cowardly" attack on the service. According to an unnamed witness: "Bodies were flying in all directions because the explosion was so powerful."

Earlier this year, Yemen's army carried out a major offensive against Islamist militants in Abyan, taking control of the region in June with the help of civilian militias comprised of local tribesmen.
The latest attack, however, has raised fears that Ansar al-Sharia remains active in the area. Groups belonging to the al-Qa'ida have taken advantage of the security vacuum in the country, which began during a year of protests against the former president Ali Abdullah Saleh.
Upon taking power the new President Abdrabuh Mansur Hadi pledged his forces would crush the militants, but it seems the fight is ongoing.

The US has used its drones in the region to support the military campaign. According to Yemeni officials, just days ago, five alleged al-Qa'ida militants were killed in a suspected US drone strike. The drone reportedly targeted their vehicle in Hadramawt.

Sources: Agence France-Presse, BBC News, Reuters

For more news and expert analysis about Yemen, please see Yemen Focus.

Monday, 6 August 2012

Algeria: Whither Amar Ghoul?


Bouguerra Soltani,formally started his new party (P&S 20.07.12; 27.07.12), at this stage called Algérie pour Tous (Algeria for All), on Saturday 28 July, but with little further news on its specific line or prospective membership.

Bouguerra Soltani, president of MSP (Movement of Society for Peace) confirmed Ghoul's resignation from the MSP, but said that “the movement is broader than people”.

In his first statement after his formal resignation from MSP, Ghoul told reporters on 28 July that his decision to found a new party is “irreversible” and that “it is not important to me what Soltani or anyone else has to say about it.” Ghoul said, “The time to talk about the Movement of Society for Peace has passed,” and went as far as saying that the party was finished.

Speaking about the new party, Ghoul said: “We decided to change the party line based on the experience we have gained in the last few years,” adding that it would not be an explicitly Islamic movement. The new party, he said, would include groups from across the political spectrum.

Members of Ghoul's entourage were reported as saying that the new party will follow the example of Turkey's AK party (Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi - Justice and Development Party), which moved away from the Islamism of its former leader Necmettin Erbakan and has dominated power for the past decade.

For more news and expert analysis about Algeria, please see Algeria Focus and Algeria Politics & Security.

© 2012 Menas Associates

Friday, 3 August 2012

Nigeria: Ex-presidents call for unity and peace


Two former presidents of Nigeria have issued a joint statement on the state of the nation. Former military president, Gen Ibrahim Babangida and former president Olusegun Obasanjo (who also served as military president 1976-79) issued the rare joint statement in Minna, Niger State, the home town of Babangida, on Sunday 29 July. They said that the statement was in response to the “unfolding events that are threatening to unravel the nearly century-old labour of our founding fathers”.

They urged that there was a need for a strong, united and peaceful nation, noting that there were internecine crises raging across the land unabated, with damaging consequences on the social, political and economic life of the nation, with untold hardships being visited on all citizens in one form or the other on a daily basis. They also pledged to do whatever was necessary to promote the quest for peace and harmony and to join hands with all patriots to sustain and further enhance the unity and progress of Nigeria.

Their statement has been met with mixed reviews. While some have commended both men for speaking out in unison against the security challenges that have held the country in a firm grip over the past year, others such as the Ohaneze Ndigbo socio-political group of the South-Eastern region, were less charitable as they referred to both men as hypocritical.

For more news and expert analysis about Nigeria, please see Nigeria Focus and Nigeria Politics & Security.

© 2012 Menas Associates

Thursday, 2 August 2012

Suriname wants co-operation with Ecuador's petroleum sector


Suriname would like closer co-operation with Ecuador's mining and petroleum sector. In two months' time, Natural Resources Minister Jim Hok will travel to Quito to start discussions.

This was made clear during the official visit of Ecuador's Foreign Affairs Minister Ricardo Armando Patiño Aroca. With a 12-member delegation, he visited Suriname on 17 and 18 July. Suriname's Minister of Foreign Affaris Winston Lackin received his counterpart and delegation and there were talks on regional integration, climate change, markets for products, visa policy and tourism. Ecuador's tourism is booming; there is a 10% growth each year. Suriname is also busy establishing its tourism industry. Education was another topic of the discussions. At the end of the visit a 'Memorandum of Understanding' was signed in which, among other things, it was agreed that there will be an exchange programme of knowledge between both countries. Furthermore, there must be co-operation in the areas of trade and agriculture.

The visit of the Ecuadorian delegation must be seen in the light of deepening the regional integration. Suriname, being a small non-Spanish speaking country on the continent, has always been isolated compared to the Spanish-speaking countries. The Bouterse-Ameerali government is now trying to break out of this isolation.

For more news and expert analysis about Algeria, please see Suriname Politics & Security.

© 2012 Menas Associates

Libya: Security system failures


There has been a failure of the security system in protecting those elements of, or close to, the government of the National Transitional Council (NTC), particularly in Benghazi. Among the victims of this particular instability is a military intelligence official, Suleiman Buzraidah, formerly in Qadhafi's employ, who was killed in a drive-by shooting incident on 28 July. This is seen in Libya as part of a well-integrated plot to eliminate from the ruling group those suspected of involvement in the deaths of individuals during the Qadhafi era. In all, it is suggested by government sources that as many as 106 names of officials in office during the Qadhafi period appear on the death list of the covert vigilante organisation. The shooting of Buzraidah was followed by the death in a bombing incident of Hameed Ali Kunduz. In June, Colonel Saleh al-Warfali, another Qadhafi regime official suffered a similar fate and this was again associated with the anti-Qadhafi extremists within the current regime.

On 29 July, again in Benghazi, General Khalifa Hafter was fortunate enough not to be included in the above reckoning. The gunmen who fired at the convoy in which he was travelling failed in their assassination attempt, leaving him unhurt.

The peace has also been disturbed by a continuation of the feuds raging in the Misrata region, particularly including confrontations between militia men from Bani Walid and locals from Misrata. At the same time, the violence affecting the Zwai and Tebu tribes in the Al Kufrah area continues and now includes a sub-theme of arms sales and smuggling.

On 30 July, a delegation of seven members of the Iranian Red Crescent arrived in Benghazi to discuss with their Libyan counterparts co-operation in humanitarian aid. At 01:00 on 31 July on the way to their hotel they were kidnapped by gunmen. There is no further information.

For more news and expert analysis about Libya, please see Libya Focus and Libya Politics & Security.

© 2012 Menas Associates

Wednesday, 1 August 2012

Nigeria: Masters wins Sierra Leone block


Masters Energy Exploration and Production (E&P) Company, a subsidiary of the Masters Energy Group, has been awarded oil exploration block SL 7C-10, covering an area of 2,015 km2 in Sierra Leone. The award was communicated to the company via an offer letter from the Petroleum Directorate of Sierra Leone.

Block SL-7C-10 is located in water depths of 10–330 m in the south, adjacent to block SL-7B-11, operated by Anadarko Petroleum and in which the deepwater hydrocarbon discovery well Jupiter-1 is located. Two more wells, Venus B-1 and Mercury-1, have also discovered hydrocarbons in the Upper Cretaceous channel in the same block, an indication that the Cretaceous sandstone and carbonate reservoirs sourced from Lower Cretaceous shale will be prospective targets in SL-7C-10.

Announcing the award the president of the Masters Energy Group, Uchechukwu Ogah, described it as a feat that has launched Masters E&P into the limelight as it is milestone in the company's history. The company's E&P group business executive, Casmir Onuoha, said, 'The award is a big boost to the company's entrance into E&P.' He stated that bidding for the block was keenly contested but the company came out tops through its superior presentations. He added that the company is on course to achieve first oil soon.

For more news and expert analysis about Nigeria, please see Nigeria Focus and Nigeria Politics & Security.

© 2012 Menas Associates