Tuesday, 1 February 2011
Algerian regime's response to riots takes shape
The Algerian opposition movement Rachad has likened its objective of overthrowing the regime by peaceful means to breaking through four concentric rings of defence. The first ring collapsed almost immediately as the government made concessions on food prices – the 'final straw' that galvanised the nationwide rioting.
The second ring looks like collapsing in the next few days. This will involve the removal of Prime Minister Ahmed Ouyahia, with the possible lifting of the State of Emergency that has now been in force for 19 years. It may also be accompanied by the freeing of some or all of the detained rioters, and giving greater freedom to the media in general.
The replacement of Ouyahia, barring any sudden change of circumstance within the regime, looks likely to occur imminently, with our sources suggesting possibly this weekend. Beyond that, none of the other concessions are assured.
For more news and expert analysis about Algeria, please see Algeria Focus and Algeria Politics & Security.
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