According to the head of Israel's military Lt Gen Benny
Gantz, Iran is unlikely to develop nuclear weapons. In a statement in
Israeli newspaper Haaretz, Gantz said Iran's Supreme
Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had not yet made the final
decision about whether to build a nuclear bomb.
Iran maintains that it wants nuclear technology for peaceful
purposes only but the West believes Tehran may be developing weapons.
In November, the UN's International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) published a report saying it was
unable to "provide credible assurance about the absence of undeclared
nuclear material and activities in Iran" and that it continued to
have "serious concerns regarding possible military dimensions to Iran's
nuclear programme".
A number of world powers have imposed sanctions on Iran,
including the US, the EU, Canada, Japan and Australia. These
include restrictions on Iran's oil sales, ban countries supplying
Tehran with heavy weaponry and nuclear-related technology and
a freeze on certain assets, people and companies.
Gantz suggests that Iran is beginning to yeald to pressure,
adding that Tehran "is going step by step to the place where it will be able
to decide whether to manufacture a nuclear bomb. It hasn't yet decided
to go the extra mile".
Additionally, speaking of Khamenei he said: "I don't think
he will want to go the extra mile. I think the Iranian leadership is
composed of very rational people."
Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu,
however, is not so confident. In an interview this week, Netanyahu said he would not want to bet "the security of the world on Iran's rational
behaviour". He added that Israel would be prepared to take action against
Iran to stop it obtaining a nuclear weapon.
For his part, Gantz did also warn that the more the
"Iranians progress the worse the situation is. This is a critical year but
not necessarily 'go, no-go'. We're in a period when something must
happen”. Adding: “Either Iran takes its nuclear programme to a civilian
footing only, or the world - perhaps we too - will have to do
something. We're closer to the end of discussions than the
middle."
Sources: BBC News, Haaretz, Reuters
For more news and expert analysis about Iran, please see Iran Strategic Focus.
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